2013 Prediction in MLB The Show

From Erik on Nov 18, 180 days ago |

Comments

So I’m kinda bored, kicking the can a bit waiting for the trade and Cabrera signing to become “official.” A poster by the handle harvey16 did a simulation in MLB The Show with the current rosters as of today. Here’s how it came out:

Cabrera
512 AB, .271 AVG, 6 HR, 44 RBI

Rasmus
528 AB, .256 AVG, 25 HR, 65 RBI

Bautista
554 AB, .245 AVG, 34 HR, 100 RBI

Reyes
585 AB, .294 AVG, 12HR, 58 RBI

Bonafacio
585 AB, .239 AVG, 6HR, 60 RBI

Lawrie
507 AB, .312 AVG, 23 HR, 80 RBI

Morrow – 8-14, 4.36 ERA
Johnson – 19-7, 3.18 ERA
Beuhrle – 18-9, 3.93 ERA
Romero – 11-9, 5.01 ERA
Happ – 11-8, 4.02 ERA

Lind
521 AB, .271 AVG, 19 HR, 59 RBI

DH – Encarnacion
543 AB, .256 AVG, 41 HR, 100 RBI

D’arnaud
413 AB, .223 AVG, 17 HR, 53 RBI

Bullpen

Lincoln – 3-2 3.08 ERA 99 SO
Oliver – 6-3 3.44 ERA 62 SO
Frasor – 1-3 3.40 ERA 54 SO
Lyon – 8-4 2.85 ERA 97 SO
Delabar – 6-1 2.62 ERA 69 SO
Santos – 5-4 4.23 ERA 71 SO
Janssen – 2-0 2.03 ERA 41 SO 42 Saves

Bench

Davis – 363 AB .245 AVG 8HR 49RBI
Izturis – 193 AB .254 AVG 1HR 18RBI
Arencibia – 250 AB .260 AVG 16HR 39RBI
Cooper – 75 AB .307 AVG 5 HR 15RBI

American League East

Team	W	L
Toronto	98	64
Tampa Bay (WC)	95	67
NY Yankees (WC)	90	72
Baltimore	87	75
Boston	69	93

Playoffs

Blue Jays beat A’s in ALDS 3 games to 1
Blue Jays beat Rays in ALCS 4 games to 3 (came back down 0-3 in series)
Blue Jays beat Dodgers 4 game to 3 and WIN WORLD SERIES (had a 3-0 series lead)

Awards

Encarnacion wins WS MVP batting .452 with 7HR and 9 RBI
Encarnacion wins playoff MVP batting .338 with 9HR and 16 RBI

Erik
I am a Canadian Soldier: The Army and the Toronto Blue Jays are my main interests in life. Under my combat shirt I bleed Blue Jays BLUE!

5 Readers Commented

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Dylan

November 19, 2012

Rough seasons for Morrow and Romero lol. I would be ok with those results though :p Log in to Reply
Erik

November 19, 2012

I didn't include the strikeout numbers for the starting 5 but Happ had the most, like 220... Typo maybe from the post author. Log in to Reply
Dr. David Stewart

December 16, 2012

Could you do another simulation with Dickey included in the pitching rotation? Log in to Reply
- Erik
  
  December 18, 2012
  
  This is from http://www.forums.mlb.com/n/pfx/forum.aspx?tsn=1&nav=messages&webtag=ml-bluejays&tid=88124
  
  The same guy did an updated season...
  
  ------------------
  
  Just downloaded the most recent roster file with all the up to date trades including Dickey and ran a simulation for 2013 and the Jays finished with a 98-64 record good for 1st in the AL East and also the best record in the American League. Here are the final team stats.
  
  Jose Reyes .288 avg/.338obp/9HR/48RBI/35SB
  Melky Cabrera .255 avg/.311obp/22HR/74RBI/9SB
  Jose Bautista .238 avg/.322obp/30HR/87RBI/4SB
  Edwin Encarnacion .272 avg/.361obp/31HR/91RBI/6SB
  Adam Lind .256 avg/.318obp/26HR/87RBI/2SB
  Brett Lawrie .281 avg/.351obp/18HR/67RBI/26SB
  Colby Rasmus .257 avg/.330obp/25HR/86RBI/17SB
  JP Arencibia .265 avg/.328obp/27HR/75RBI/1SB
  Emilio Bonifacio .302 avg/.364obp/5HR/50 RBI/27SB
  
  Bench
  
  Josh Thole 204AB/.299avg/.364obp/4HR/23RBI/1SB
  Rajai Davis 78AB/.231avg/.282obp/3HR/11RBI/14SB
  Maicer Izturis 301AB/.233avg/.295obp/3HR/27RBI/4SB
  Moises Sierra 168AB/.244avg/.291obp/6HR/26RBI/3SB
  
  The strength of the club offensively was their balanced attack. The club averaged 4.75 runs per game(5th in MLB) without having a single player with over 100 RBI's, yet had 6 players with over 70 RBI's. Nobody had an oustanding season but several players did very well. Lawrie had a strong sophmore year and Bonifacio had great year being the only player on the club to hit over .300. Bautista had a poor season by his standards, hitting only .238, but still managed a respectable 30HR. The Jays hit 209HR good for 6th in the league, but had an astounding 339 doubles (best in MLB) with bonifacio leading the league with 51. They also finished 2nd in the league in triples with 38 with both Lawrie and Cabrera putting up 7 each and Reyes close behind with 6. The Jays finished tied for 8th in the league in stolen bases with 150, finishing 2nd in the league in SB% with an amazing .838 success rate. The Jays also finished 5th in the league in SLG% at .447 and 10th in OBP at .331. The Jays also had a great year defensively committing the second fewest errors in the league with 64 and also finished second to KC in fielding % at .989
  
  Rotation
  
  R.A. Dickey 225IP/15-4/3.19ERA/216SO/75BB
  Josh Johnson 228IP/15-9/3.47ERA/204SO/70BB
  Mark Buehrle 206IP/10-10/4.27ERA/78SO/55BB
  Brandon Morrow 194IP/10-6/4.45ERA/195SO/85BB
  Ricky Romero 234IP/17-5/2.50ERA/231SO/90BB
  
  Bullpen
  
  Esmil Rogers 73IP/9-11/4.03ERA/70SO/28BB
  Aaron Loup 66IP/8-2/3.65ERA/66SO/24BB
  Sergio Santos 63IP/5-3/3.13ERA/73SO/12BB
  Mike Gonzalez 44IP/3-3/3.63ERA/49S0/16BB
  J.A. Happ 41IP/1-3/4.75ERA/42SO/16BB
  Dustin McGowan 10IP/1-0/7.20ERA/11SO/4BB
  Casey Janssen 48IP/1-7/4.66ERA/43SO/10BB/41 Saves, 13 blown
  
  The Jays enjoyed a very successful season on the mound this year putting up a 3.60 team ERA, good for 7th overall in the league. Romero led the charges with a huge bounceback year leading the team with a sparkling 2.50ERA and also led the team in IP, Wins and Strikeouts. Romero finished 2nd in CY Young voting, narrowly losing out to Josh tomlin who put up 22 wins for Cleveland this year. Newcomers Dickey and Johnson also enjoyed great season each posting sub 3.50 ERA's while both eclipsing 200 K's. Buehrle had a mediocre season but was a workhorse for the club, once again pitching more than 200 innings. Morrow was the only real dissapointment in the rotation putting up a mid 4 ERA while walking almost 100 batters but still finished with a winning record thanks to the strong run support he received all season long. In the Bullpen, newly acquired Mike Gonzales enjoyed a good year. Santos had a great season coming back for surgery in the offseason and Loup also was very effective against lefties. Janssen could not replicate the great season from 2012, while still saving 41 games he also blew 13 and had an ERA north of 4.50 with a terrible 1-7 record. McGowan once again attempted to make a comeback mid season, but after only 9 relief appereances once again went down with a shoulder injury. His career appears to be over.
  
  Overall a very successful season for the Jays beating Boston by 3 games for their first ALE title in 20 years. They will face Texas in the ALDS, while Boston will face Cleveland after beating the Tigers in the Wild Card game.
  
  In the National League, the Nationals (100-62), Reds (105-57) and Dodgers (88-74) were division winners, with the Braves beating the Cardinals in the Wild Card Game. The Cubs finished with the worst record in baseball losing 107 games. The Marlins who pretty much gutted their entire team also lost 100 games as well as the Astros.
  
  Playoffs
  
  The Jays unfortuntely got swept 3-0 by the Rangers in the ALDS, getting outscored 19-7 in the process, while Cleveland beat boston in 5 games in the other series. In the National League both series went the distance with Washington and Atlanta prevailing. Texas beats Cleveland in 6 games to with the ALCS and Washingon beats Atlanta in 5 games.
  
  The Washington Nationals are world series champs sweeping the Rangers 4 straight to win their first ever WS title. Once again the Rangers are bridesmaids.
  
  IMO, the game did a pretty good job of simulating the 2013 season. The stats all seem very plausible. Let me know what you think? Log in to Reply
Adam Barnes

January 6, 2013

I honestly believe that the plane will have to crash to stop this team from winning 90 games. Log in to Reply